目的 针对周转航材供应链高流动性、多主体闭环周转的结构特征及风险传导复杂性问题,从供应链关系维度识别并管控关键风险。方法 以利益相关者视角出发,采用供应链运作参考模型（SCOR）识别风险因素;构建基于社会网络分析（SNA）方法的风险评估模型,分析风险因素间的关联关系与作用机制;通过测算相关指标,确定关键风险节点与核心传导路径并提出针对性管控措施及实施效果评估方法。结果 共识别7类利益相关者、29个风险因素,构建包含74个节点的闭环供应链风险网络;整体网络密度为0.189 6,平均步距2.170,可达性0.733,呈现传导效率高、子群稳定的结构特征,综合多指标测度确定22个关键风险节点;关键风险管控后整体网络密度下降56.6%,表明了所提应对策略的管控有效性。结论 针对周转航材闭环供应链的风险传导痛点,验证了关键风险节点管控可有效抑制周转航材供应链风险网络传导,为周转航材供应链风险的系统识别与管控提供了理论参考和方法支撑。
Abstract
To address the high mobility, multi-stakeholder closed-loop turnover and complex risk transmission of turnover aviation parts supply chains, the work aims to identify and control key risks from the relational dimension. From a stakeholder perspective, the supply chain operations reference model (SCOR) was adopted to extract risk factors, and a social network analysis (SNA)-based assessment model was constructed to analyze risk correlations and interaction mechanisms. Key risk nodes and transmission paths were quantified by measuring and calculating relevant indicators to propose targeted control measures together with evaluation methods for implementation effects. 7 stakeholder types and 29 risk factors were identified and a 74-node closed-loop risk network was established, with a density of 0.189 6, an average path length of 2.170 and a reachability of 0.733, featuring high transmission efficiency and stable subgroups. In total, 22 key risk nodes were determined via multi-indicator analysis. A 56.6% reduction in network density after key risk control validated the effectiveness of the proposed strategies. Aiming at the pain points of risk transmission in the closed-loop supply chain of turnover aviation parts, this work verifies that the control of key risk nodes can effectively suppress the risk network transmission of the turnover aviation parts supply chain. It provides theoretical reference and methodological support for the systematic identification and control of risks in the turnover aviation parts supply chain.
关键词
周转航材 /
供应链风险网络 /
供应链运作参考模型（SCOR） /
社会网络分析（SNA） /
利益相关者 /
关键风险
Key words
turnover aviation parts /
supply chain risk network /
supply chain operations reference (SCOR) /
social network analysis (SNA) /
stakeholders /
key risks
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