目的 本研究旨在解决“双碳”目标与循环经济背景下快递包装废弃物快速增长所引发的回收效率低、主体责任不明与协同机制缺失等问题。方法 通过引入生产者责任延伸制度,构建了政府、物流企业、电商平台与消费者四方参与的演化博弈模型,采用收益矩阵构建、复制动态方程推导与稳定性分析等方法,结合数值仿真验证,系统探讨了各方策略选择及其演化路径。结果 系统最优稳定状态为（1.1.1.1）,即政府积极监管、物流企业构建回收渠道、电商平台负责回收、消费者主动参与回收;各主体策略明显受到奖惩机制、口碑转化率及补贴阈值等参数的影响,而初始参与意愿仅影响系统收敛速度,不改变最终策略方向。结论 提出应通过精准调控激励与约束参数、强化多主体协同,推动快递包装回收体系高效运行,为实现绿色低碳发展提供理论支持与实践路径。
Abstract
The work aims to address issues arising from the rapid growth of express packaging wastes under the dual carbon goals and circular economy framework, including low recycling efficiency, unclear primary responsibility, and absence of collaborative mechanisms. By introducing Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR), an evolutionary game model involving four stakeholders such as government, logistics enterprises, e-commerce platforms, and consumers was constructed. By utilizing methods such as payoff matrix construction, replicated dynamic equation derivation, and stability analysis, combined with numerical simulation validation, the strategic choices and evolutionary trajectories of each party were systematically explored. The system's optimal stable state was (1.1.1.1) the government implementing active regulation, logistics enterprises establishing recycling channels, e-commerce platforms assuming recycling responsibility, and consumers proactively participating in recycling. Each party's strategy was significantly influenced by parameters such as reward-punishment mechanisms, reputation conversion rates, and subsidy thresholds. Initial participation willingness only influenced the system's convergence speed without altering the final strategic direction. This study proposes that precise calibration of incentive and constraint parameters, coupled with enhanced multi-stakeholder coordination, should drive the efficient operation of express packaging recycling systems. This approach provides theoretical underpinnings and practical pathways for achieving green, low-carbon development.
关键词
快递包装回收 /
演化博弈 /
四方协同
Key words
express packaging recycling /
evolutionary game theory /
quadripartite coordination
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基金
湖北省教育厅科学技术研究计划重点项目（D20231802）; 湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究项目重点课题（24D059）
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