基于多元回归的烟用包装纸黏接性能预测及关键影响因素分析

董存军; 曾强; 颜莉; 肖超; 孙鹏; 姚俊杰; 蔡雯; 叶武佳; 朱彦青; 鲁建峰

doi:10.19554/j.cnki.1001-3563.2026.05.023

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包装工程（技术栏目） ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (5) : 210-219. DOI: 10.19554/j.cnki.1001-3563.2026.05.023

自动化与智能化技术

基于多元回归的烟用包装纸黏接性能预测及关键影响因素分析

董存军¹, 曾强¹, 颜莉¹, 肖超¹, 孙鹏¹, 姚俊杰¹, 蔡雯¹, 叶武佳¹, 朱彦青^2,*, 鲁建峰^2,*

作者信息 +

Multiple Linear Regression-based Prediction of Adhesion Strength of Cigarette Packaging Paper and Analysis of Influencing Factors

DONG Cunjun¹, ZENG Qiang¹, YAN Li¹, XIAO Chao¹, SUN Peng¹, YAO Junjie¹, CAI Wen¹, YE Wujia¹, ZHU Yanqing^2,*, LU Jianfeng^2,*

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

目的针对卷烟包装纸在卷包过程中黏接力不够,导致开胶的问题,旨在构建黏接强度经验预测模型,为面向工程应用的包装纸选型和卷包工艺优化提供依据。方法以180°剥离黏接力为因变量,选取表面能、表面粗糙度等表面性质为自变量,在SPSS中构建多元线性回归模型。结果回归模型决定系数R²为0.692。在胶黏剂和黏接工艺一定时,该模型可实现对不同包装纸黏接强度的预测。此外,研究发现,提高包装纸印刷面表面Ca含量和表面能色散分量,有利于提高黏接力。结论开发了一种包装纸筛选的预测工具,有助于实现对卷烟包装质量的前馈控制,为卷烟包装工艺的工程应用提供理论支撑和技术参考。

Abstract

To address frequent bond failures such as debonding during the wrapping process of cigarette packaging paper, the work aims to develop a prediction model for bonding strength to provide a basis for the selection of packaging paper and optimization of wrapping processes in engineering applications. The 180° peel adhesion strength of cigarette packaging paper was used as the dependent variable, while surface properties including surface free energy, surface roughness were selected as independent variables and a multiple linear regression model was subsequently established in SPSS. The optimized model yielded a coefficient of determination R² of 0.692 and provided predictive estimates of bonding levels for different paper formulations under relatively stable adhesive formulation and process conditions. The results indicated that the dispersive component of surface free energy and Ca content exerted the most pronounced positive effects on bonding strength. A rapid tool for evaluating bonding performance and screening cigarette packaging paper is developed, enabling feedforward quality control under existing equipment and adhesive systems and offering guidance for material optimization and process design in cigarette packaging applications.

导出引用

董存军, 曾强, 颜莉, 肖超, 孙鹏, 姚俊杰, 蔡雯, 叶武佳, 朱彦青, 鲁建峰. 基于多元回归的烟用包装纸黏接性能预测及关键影响因素分析[J]. 包装工程. 2026, 47(5): 210-219 https://doi.org/10.19554/j.cnki.1001-3563.2026.05.023

DONG Cunjun, ZENG Qiang, YAN Li, XIAO Chao, SUN Peng, YAO Junjie, CAI Wen, YE Wujia, ZHU Yanqing, LU Jianfeng. Multiple Linear Regression-based Prediction of Adhesion Strength of Cigarette Packaging Paper and Analysis of Influencing Factors[J]. Packaging Engineering. 2026, 47(5): 210-219 https://doi.org/10.19554/j.cnki.1001-3563.2026.05.023

中图分类号： TB484.1

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